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Why Big AI Investments Aren’t Paying Off Yet

Ramo by Ramo
3 July 2026
in AI in Business
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Goldman Sachs estimates that tech companies will spend $7.6 trillion through 2031 building the data centres needed to power artificial intelligence. Investors, until very recently, did not ask too many questions about where the returns would come from. Now they are.

The Nasdaq slipped nearly 5% during a June selloff driven largely by anxiety about AI spending, as Wall Street began demanding something the industry had mostly deferred: evidence that the money is working. Behind that market anxiety is a quieter crisis playing out inside thousands of companies that adopted AI with ambition and found execution far harder than the pitch deck suggested.

The ambition gap

Thomson Reuters published a survey in June 2026 that found 78% of corporate clients now consider AI-enabled quality improvements essential to their service relationships. Only 6% believe most providers are actually delivering them. That gap, between expectation and execution, is where much of the enterprise AI story currently lives.

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Among firms that do have an AI strategy, 35% say those ambitions are not reflected in how work actually gets done day to day. Nearly one in four professionals said they would leave within two years if they do not see the expected value materialize. Companies are not just failing to impress their clients with AI. They risk losing their people over it too.

A May 2026 Gartner study found that businesses replacing workers with AI agents often fail to generate a return on investment. The problem is not usually the technology itself. It is the assumption that deploying a tool is the same as deploying a strategy.

Where the money is going

OpenAI responded to the enterprise adoption challenge directly this month by launching the OpenAI Deployment Company, a new business unit designed to help organizations embed AI into critical workflows. The accompanying OpenAI Partner Network aims to certify as many as 300,000 consultants by the end of 2026, a sign that the company now sees implementation services as a competitive frontier, not just a side offering.

Meanwhile, the acquisition landscape is moving fast. A $60 billion all-stock deal for Cursor, the AI coding assistant, was filed on June 16. Cursor is generating roughly $4 billion in annualized revenue, which gives some sense of where enterprise value is actually accumulating: in productivity tools that integrate tightly into developer workflows rather than in general-purpose models deployed without a clear use case.

The efficiency turn

Something shifted in how enterprises are thinking about AI costs this quarter. Companies that had been spending freely on frontier models began looking for cheaper alternatives. AI startup Lindy moved from Anthropic’s Claude models to DeepSeek, citing significant cost reductions. Lindy is not unusual. Across the market, buyers are asking whether the most expensive model is really the right one for their specific workload.

This shift could dampen growth rates at OpenAI and Anthropic, both of which have built their revenue projections around enterprises running large volumes of high-cost inference. If customers optimize toward efficiency rather than capability, the economics change considerably. The companies with the most durable positions may turn out to be those that embed themselves into workflows so deeply that switching becomes genuinely painful, not just expensive.

What comes next

The current moment is not a crash. Capital is still moving into AI infrastructure at historically unprecedented rates. But the questions investors and executives are asking have matured. Deployment Company launches, consultant certification programs, and $60 billion acqui-hires are all signs of an industry that knows it needs to get better at the hard part, which is not building the model. It is making the model useful enough that someone is glad they paid for it.

Whether that happens fast enough to satisfy the investors who funded the current wave remains genuinely unclear. The next 18 months will be defined more by enterprise outcomes than by benchmark scores. For more coverage of AI in business, visit Mylistingo.

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Ramo

Ramo is the editorial voice of Mylistingo — an AI and technology news platform based in The Hague, Netherlands. Covering artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, and the future of technology, Ramo delivers accurate, accessible reporting for both general audiences and industry professionals. Every article is fact-checked and written to meet Mylistingo's strict no-fabrication editorial standards.

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